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SMU Mustangs vs Temple Owls CFB Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction (10/20/23)

CFB

(10/20/23) 7:00PM Eastern.

Spread: SMU -23.5 / Temple +23.5

ML: SMU -2,000 / Temple +1,250

Over/Under 55.5

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Free Pick: Jaylan Knighton Over 60.5 Rushing Yards.


The Mustangs starting RB is in line for a big night. He has yet to top 11 carries in each of his last 3 games but that's no fault of his own. He had a quiet night against ECU last week but that's an elite rush defense that held Michigan to just 121.2 rushing yards and 3.9 YPC earlier this season. The week before that he torched Charlotte for 150 yards on 11 carries and got half the night off. He ran for 42 yards on 8 carries against TCU 3 weeks ago but game script against a superior team dictated that.


Still, he's gone over this total in 3 of his 5 games. He opened the season with 64 yards against Louisiana Tech and followed that up with 76 yards against Oklahoma. He's averaging 5.8 yards per carry and SMU as a team averages 157.8 rushing yards per game. They want to run the football and Temple ranks 129th out of 133 in rushing yards allowed per game against FBS opponents. They allow an average of 219.5 Rushing YPG and in 6 FBS games they've let 9 players go over 60.5 rushing yards. On a night they should hold a lead for most of the night, he should see plenty of carries.


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