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7:10pm est: Reds Moneyline +155 (4 Units)
Ben Lively gets the nod for CINI and he’s pitched well. He has a 2.65 ERA and in his 2 starts, gave up 2 ER in each. He went 5.2 IP vs the Yankees and 6 IP vs the Cardinals. Nobody on Boston has taken an at bat vs Lively before. The Red Sox offense has been struggling, failing to score more than 3 Runs in 6 of their last 7 games. They’ve scored 2 or less in 5 of those 7 too. CIN also has a very good bullpen that is freshly rested from yesterday’s day off.
Brayan Bello starts for Boston and he’s coming off his deepest start of 2023. He held the Angels to 2 ER in 7 IP. He did make 1 start vs Cinci last year and allowed 8 hits and walked 2 in 5 Innings. The Reds only managed to score 1 Run. Bello has a 4.58 Home ERA compared to his 3.57 Road ERA as Fenway is a hitter friendly park. Cinci’s bats are just on fire at the moment. They’re scored 5+ in 6 of their last 7 and have scored 8+ in 3 straight games. They lead baseball in every major offensive category over the last week. The Reds called up their #5 Prospect Matt McLain and he’s provided a jolt to the offense. He’s hitting .380 with an OPS of 1.055 through his first 12 games.
The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall and 4-1 L5 road games. Boston is just 2-5 in their last 7 and 1-10 L11 interleague home games. Great Value on the Reds today.