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1:05PM EST: Twins ML -115 (4 Units)
Pablo Lopez was victimized by weakly hit ground balls against the Tigers his last time out. He struggled a bit with his command, but he allowed just 4 hard hit balls. He has a 4.86 ERA after that start but a 3.55 xERA. He had a 3.66 ERA across 32 starts in 2023 and a 3.75 ERA across 32 starts in 2022. He allowed just 4 runs combined over his first two starts (12.2 IP) this season. He's been a true road warrior too, posting a 3.16 ERA across 16 road starts in 2023 and a 3.0 ERA across 16 road starts in 2022. His first start of the year was a 7-inning gem at Kansas City allowing just 1 run on 4 hits (Solo HR) without walking a batter. Royals offense was rolling early this year too. We expect him to be sharper today. The Twins bullpen is in phenomenal shape as they try and avoid the sweep. They were fresh yesterday after Varlaand struggled in game 1 of this series but then Chris Paddack also laid an egg. He couldn't locate and his slider was more of a spinner and batting practice ball. Twins let him go and he recorded 16 outs before passing it off to the bottom of their bullpen. They have 5 relievers working on 2 days rest that have allowed 1 run or less so far this season. Minnesota also has the day off tomorrow so there's no need to save these guys.
Baltimore starter Albert Suarez is making his first MLB appearance since 2017. He had a 5.17 ERA in spring training and 5.87 ERA in 3 AAA appearances. Despite scoring 4 and 3 runs in the first couple games of this series the Twins bats have squared up Baltimore's pitching well. They've recorded 12 Hard-Hit balls in each of the first two games with Hard-Hit percentages of 56.7 and 48.6. Minnesota's seen most of the Orioles bullpen now as well. Suarez isn't a major league pitcher, and this is likely the only time he'll get a chance to start this year. They just have 3 injured starters, but Kyle Bradish and John Means are currently making rehab starts. 2:10PM EST: GAME 1 KC/CWS Under 9 (2 Units). Brady Singer takes the mound for KC and he's been elite since adding the 4-Seamer to his arsenal. Covered that in his last start (CLICK HERE). He has a .98 ERA after 3 starts, .175 opponent BA, and a .88 WHIP. He pitched against these White Sox a couple weeks ago and gave up just 1 run (Solo HR) on 2 hits and 1 Walk over 6.1 IP. The White Sox offense is averaging 2.1 runs per game this season and is dead last in pretty much every major offensive category. They've failed to score more than 1 run in 7 of their last 11 games.
Jonathan Cannon is making his MLB Debut for the White Sox today. Being drafted in 2022 he climbed the White Sox farm system rather quickly. He allowed just 1 run in each of his last 2 spring appearances (8IP) and has a 2.79 ERA after two AAA starts. He uses a 5-pitch mix to induce a ton of ground balls. That mix will really help should he struggle with location battling nerves in his first start. His ability to escape bad situations courtesy of the ground ball is also a safety net. There's also not much pressure debuting for a 2-14 White Sox team. We like him to have a solid debut and it's because this Royals offense has gone cold. They were on fire to start the season but have scored 2 or less in 3 of their last 4 games. They scored 2 runs on 5 hits in their most recent game and 1 run on 3 hits the day before that The White Sox bullpen ranks 16th in ERA and pitched 4 shutout innings against KC last time out. Their top relievers have pitched very well this season.
Weather isn't as friendly as it was yesterday and while their bullpen's got reloaded, they're playing a double header today. Tricky usage with relievers because of it and we aren't going to wager much on such an unpredictable variable like that.
