MLB (2 Picks)
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Gridiron Players Club 2-0 Start to the Season! MASSIVE WEEK AHEAD. DON'T MISS OUT.
7:07PM EST: Nationals ML +210 (3 Units)
Great Value whenever Josiah Gray takes the mound on the round. He's up against one of the AL's best but his 2.73 ERA across 15 road starts always gives the Nats a chance to win. He's allowed 2ER or less in 10 of his 15 road starts. He faces a Blue Jays lineup hitting just .233 with a .706 over the last week (6 Games). TOR ranks 18th in OPS in the Month of August.
Gausman is hard to hit when he's on, but he's been hit or miss lately. He has 3 Quality starts in his last 6 games and 3 not so quality starts. If you start at the first of 6, he allowed 4 ER over 6IP. He followed that up by allowing 1 ER over 6IP. Then he allowed 3 ER over 4.1 IP, followed by 7 shutout innings. Then 7 runs (5 Earned) over 5.1. And in his last time out, 2 ER over 6 innings. TOR is just 2-4 in Gausman's last 6 starts (3.89 ERA).
Toronto also played and lost an 11 inning games against the Guardians yesterday. Every reliever not named Trevor Richards threw for Toronto yesterday. Richards himself threw 28 pitches Saturday and has thrown 60 in the past 5 days. The Blue Jays closer Jordan Romano also threw 36 pitches yesterday. He was working on extended rest but it's to be determined if TOR is comfortable rolling him out today. Either way it's not ideal.
Washington starter Trevor Williams threw a 7 inning gem yesterday which gave the Nationals bullpen some rest. A Nationals bullpen that has multiple arms pitching very well lately. Kyle Finnegan has settled into his Closer role quite nicely. He's been perfect in his last 13 save attempts, dating back to July 17th. He has a 1.59 ERA during that span. There's Hunter Harvey who's allowed just 1 ER over his last 17 appearances. Jordan Weems has a 2.84 ERA in August and Andres Machado has a 1.86. All 4 of them had the day off yesterday and are good to go today.
The Nationals are 11-4 in their last 15 games, winning all 5 series. Toronto's 7-10 in their last 17 and have won just 1 of their last 6 series.
8:40pm EST: Bryce Elder Under 16.5 Outs -125 (2 Units)
Bryce Elder is making his first career appearance in the high Denver altitude and he's not pitching too great as it is. He finished July with a 5.96 ERA and has a 4.57 ERA through 4 August starts. He's recorded more than 16.5 Outs in just 1 of his 4 August starts and just 1 of his last 4 road starts. The Rockies hit well at Coors, their .777 OPS at Home ranks 7th in baseball.
The Rockies return home after a 6 game road trip against two of the best teams in baseball, TB and BAL. Their offense battled against some very good pitching, scoring at least 3 runs in every game and 4 or more in 5 of out 6. They played 6 Home games before that road trip and scored a combined 48 runs.
Elder has a GO/AO ratio of 1.5 this season. Meaning he records the majority of his outs on the ground. He utilizes a heavy Sinker/Slider combo to induce ground balls. However in the Month of August it's a 1.09. He's leaving balls up more and batters are driving the ball. He also has to adjust to Coors Field. His sinker wont break down or in nearly as much. Studies show the average sinker loses nearly 3 inches of Horizontal movement at Coors field when compared to an average ballpark. That might not sound like much but the average MLB barrel is around 10 inches long and the sweet spot just a fraction of that.
He's leaving balls up as is and now his downward movement won't be so down. Balls also carry further much further at Coors for when he does leave them up. He's also issued 14 free passes in August (21.2 IP). Colorado should be able to work him well enough to chase him out before he records out #17.