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9:07PM EST: LAD/ARI Under 9.5 (3 Units)
This is do or die for the Dodgers and they start off with Veteran pitcher Lance Lynn. It was a bumpy season for Lynn but he finished off strong allowing 2ER or less in 3 of his last 4 starts and 3ER in the outlier. He posted a 3.38 ERA over his last 4 starts. He's also no stranger to the moment having pitched in 27 post-season games throughout his career. He was also Team USA's leading ACE for the World Baseball Classic that just passed.
He's not going to have a long leash. This Dodgers bullpen was the best in baseball from September on and they're going home if they lose. Worry about tomorrow when it gets here. Nobody in their bullpen has thrown more than once in the last 5 days anyway and the same holds true for Arizona. These two had off yesterday and will play again tomorrow but they will get another day off before game 5 if it gets there. Anyone who pitches today, barring some large pitch count, will be available tomorrow and also game 5.
The Dodgers have just gotten terrible starting pitching so far in this series. Kershaw gave up 6 runs and recorded just 1 out in game 1 and then Bobby Miller allowed 3 ER over 1.2 IP in game two. Emmet Sheehan backed up Kershaw and allowed 3 ER over 3.2 IP but he's not a true reliever. He was the Dodgers extra starter that was put into the bullpen for the playoffs. Their true bullpen's allowed just 3ER over 12.1 IP so far this series.
Arizona's bullpen has allowed just 2ER across 15.2 IP this entire post-season. They're starting Brandon Pfaadt but odds are he doesn't last long. If he does, great, but he'll probably get chased early. We have faith and expect Lovullo to use that bullpen early. For starters you don't want to give the Dodgers a chance. ARI is up 2-0 and you if anyone knows how quickly the LAD can turn it around, it's the Diamondbacks.
They're well rested as we mentioned before but one of the biggest reasons is the availability of Zac Gallen and Merill Kelly. Kelly is on regular rest for a potential game 4 start and Gallen's on regular rest for Game 5. They don't need to conserve their bullpen even a little bit with both of their Aces set to pitch again. Those 2 have also pitched great in the post-season so far so there's not many doubts. They could even opt to save Kelly and Gallen to piggyback in Game 5 if they wanted.
Pfaadt only pitched 2.2 innings before being pulled in his Wild Card start. Arizona's bullpen followed that up with 6.1 scoreless innings and that's going to be the blueprint going into this one. The Dodgers will likely start Clayton Kershaw if they make it to game 4 tomorrow. Yes, ARI blasted him in Game 1 but I can assure you nobody in the Diamondbacks organization wants to face Kershaw in a game 4 where a loss sends you back to LA in the all important Game 5.