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(2 Picks)
4:25PM EST: Eagles -3 (3 Units) PUSH
Everyone's all excited about the Bills because they fired their offensive coordinator and then played well offensively against the Jets. Two things, first, the Jets offense is in such a terrible place it's impossible to play good defense. The Bills scored 32 points that day, but the Jets turned the ball over 4 times. The Bills offense was on the field for just shy of 37 minutes that day. No defense is going to overcome that. Second, the new OC brought a new element the Jets couldn't prepare for. His subtle twist hadn't been applied just yet. Cats of out the bag now for the Philly coaching staff.
Ken Dorsey didn't exactly do a bad job as the Bills OC either. Partly but not exactly his fault Josh Allen is a turnover machine that consistently makes the same mistakes. They were the 7th ranked scoring offense when Dorsey was fired. They were also at Home last week. They'll have to go into Philly today and play a Superbowl contender. The Bills are just 1-3 on the road this year with their only win coming against the Washington Commanders, the worst defense in the NFL. They've lost at Cinci, at New England, and in NY against the Jets week 1 when Rodgers tore his Achilles a few plays into the game.
Philly is one of the toughest places to go and visit and this is a bigger game than most. The Bills may be 6-5 but still pose an elite threat. The Philly nut jobs will be fired up per usual. The hardest place to go in and win is in Kansas City, especially since Mahomes and Reid linked up. The Eagles just did that last week by the score of 21-17. Their defense shut out the Chiefs in the second half, allowing Hurts and the Eagles to come back from a 7-17 halftime deficit.
This will be their 5th home game of the season. Their offense has scored 28, 31, 34, and 34 in the previous 4. This Bills defense would be one of the best in the NFL if they weren't nailed by injuries. They're still a quality unit but they've lost a few too many key pieces. CB T. White, LB Matt Milano, and DL DaQuon Jones were all lost for the year. Blows at every level of the defense. Their depth is incredibly thin in the secondary today as well. On the Road they've allowed 24, 24, 3 (WSH) and 22. All of which are inferior offenses to Philly.
Philly is just the better team and this defense is starting to come together under Defensive Coordinator Sean Desai. He replaced Jonathon Gannon, who left for the ARI head coaching job. The Eagles defense was always going to get better as they got more comfortable in Desai's system. He wasn't a hire from within, he came over from Seattle after serving as Associate Head Coach and Defensive Assistant for Pete Carroll.
They've played the top 2 scoring offenses along with the KC Chiefs in 3 of their last 4 games. They held both the Dolphins and Chiefs to 17 and the Cowboys to 23. They've also allowed just 13 second half points in those 3 games combined which speaks to the coaching over there.
8:20PM EST: Ravens -3 (4 Units) ✅
Baltimore has been dismantling teams of late. They're 5-1 in their last 6 games and should probably be 6-0. Going back; 34-20 vs CIN, 31-33 vs CLE, 37-3 vs SEA, 31-24 @ ARI, 38-6 vs DET, & 24-16 @ TEN. The Cardinals game became a 1-score game with 26 seconds left and the Titans game 38 seconds left. The Browns game was just peak AFC North division rivalry game.
BAL took a 31-17 lead over CLE with 11:34 to go. Watson led the Browns down the field and scored a TD a couple minutes later. The following Ravens drive Lamar had a pass tipped at the line of scrimmage that dropped right into Grew Newsome's lap and returned for a TD. The XP was no good but BAL's next drive stalled on their 41-yard line. CLE got the ball back with 5 minutes left and ended the game with a game winning field goal. That's a very good Browns defense and one of the rare Deshaun Watson games this year.
Simply put, Baltimore is playing very good football. Their defense has been elite and stymied multiple good offenses. They are the 2nd ranked scoring defense allowing just 16.1 points per game and they match-up well against LA. The strength of the Chargers offense is their passing attack led by Justin Herbert. The strength of the Baltimore defense is its pass defense. Only the Cowboys and Browns allow fewer passing yards per game than the Ravens 169.7.
The loss of Mike Williams for the year has really stung them. First round Rookie WR Quenton Johnson hasn't taken the leap yet and there aren't many receivers in the NFL like Williams. It hurts against aggressive defenses. The "50/50" ball with him is more of a 70/30. If he's getting 1 on 1 coverage Herbert can just throw it up and watch him make plays. It's extremely valuable when you have Keenan Allen getting most of the attention elsewhere.
It also doesn't matter what type of weapons you have to throw the ball to if you don’t get time to do it. The Ravens have recorded 4+ sacks in each of their last 3 games. They rank 1st averaging 4 sacks per game and have the 4th highest sack percentage in the NFL at 9.87%. That's up to 12.15% in their last 3 Games. The Browns own the #1 mark in the NFL at 11.11%. The addition of Kyle Van Noy has really helped. He has 6 sacks and has only been up to speed for their last 6 games. The one good thing about defense is that it travels.
Offensively the Ravens should continue to have success despite no Mark Andrews. For starters Lamar is plenty used to playing without him. They have a strong back-up in TE Isiah Likely and another one in TE Charlie Kolar. Andrews was hurt before Baltimore scored a point in last week’s game against the Bengals and they still scored 34 points. In positive injury development, WR Zay Flowers and stud OT Ronnie Stanley are expected to play. WR Odell Beckham is listed as a Game-Time decision, but he was a limited participant in Thursday's practice and a Full Participant on Friday's. He's on the right side of that.
The Chargers defense is one of the worst in football. They rank 29th in opponent yards per play and 24th in points per game. To make matters worse they also just lost star pass rusher Joey Bosa for the year. He had 6.5 sacks in 8 games this year and is one of the better edge rushers in the NFL. It's a big blow as their pass rush was really the only bright spot of this defense. Excluding the NY Jets game since they don't have an NFL offense, the Chargers have just 5 sacks in their last 4 games. Lamar's also one of the toughest QB's to bring down.
PLAYERS CLUB VIP Members are +82.7 Units over the last 10 Weeks! That's NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL, & SOCCER! Even just $100 Unit Bettors are up $8,270! We're as consistent as they come and that's ALL DOCUMENTED! For a Limited Time we're offering 1 Week of VIP Access for just $499! That's every Players Club we offer. CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE
