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CBB
(1 Pick)
9:00PM EST: Baylor -6.5 (4 Units).
Baylor's starting to hit its stride and their newer 1-3-1 matchup defense has a lot to do with it. Offensively they've been a juggernaut all year, but their defense had been a liability. They've been respectable of late, doing a solid job against Kansas their last time out. They also had big defensive performances against Houston and TCU the games prior.
Texas is stronger offensively, but their defense is weak. The Bears had no issues scoring at Home against Houston and Kansas, the 1st and 11th ranked defenses in the Nation. Texas is all the way down at 39 and have been cooked on the road by good offense all year. Houston scored 82 (13th Adj O), Kansas 86 (42nd), BYU 84 (9th), and Marquette 86 (19th). Texas lost 3 of those games by 21 points exactly and another by 12. Texas is 186th in opponent 3-PT %, 183rd in Defensive Open-3 Rate, 282nd in PPP defending Catch & Shoot 3's, and 62nd in PPP defensive off the Dribble 3's.
Baylor's 5th in Adj O this season and are 3rd in 3-PT%. They also shoot 43.3% from behind the Arc at Home. They can score in a variety of different ways with 6 players averaging over 10 points per game. The Texas defense isn't going to be able to stop the Bears tonight and Baylor's more efficient defense should provide enough stops to help us cover the number.
