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Courtside Players Club

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Courtside Players Club (12/7/23)

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(1 Pick)


7:30PM EST: (Iowa) Payton Sandfort Over 12.5 Points (2 Units)


Sandfort has been shooting the ball well from outside, making 9 of his last 21 3's (42.85%) over the last 3 games. The Hawkeyes are going to need that against a tough interior Cyclones defense. Iowa State ranks 5th in opponent 2-PT FG% but 231st in opponent 3-PT FG%. They've had a pretty easy schedule thus far as well; their best win was 68-64 over VCU. Iowa isn't shooting as much outside as they've normally done under HC Fran McCaffrey. Last season they attempted 23.7 3's per game but they're down to 19.1 this year.


The Cyclones defense is good. Since HC T.J. Otzelberger took over in 2021, Iowa State has ranked inside the top 15 in adjusted defensive efficiency each season. If the Hawkeyes are to have any chance, they're going to need to hit perimeter shots. It's something they've been known for and usually do quite a bit of during McCaffrey's tenure so it's not like we're asking them to reinvent the wheel. Sandfort is their outside shooter. He has 53 attempted 3-PT shots this season, the next closest Hawkeye has 21.


He's also shooting 95% from the charity stripe. He's one of their closers should Iowa find themselves ahead at the end of the game. He's failed to go over this number in each of his last 2 games. He scored 9 against Purdue last time out but they're just a much better team. He scored 10 in a blowout over North Florida but that's because he played just 21 minutes. The game prior to that was a competitive one against Seton Hall and he scored 22. He went 7-14 from the floor, 4-10 from deep, and 4-4 from the FT line. He also scored 12 against OU the game prior to that but that was the final game of his cold spell from deep, as he went 0-5 from beyond the Arc. He should be close to double digit 3's in this one.

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