Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Predictions (5/5/23)
- WinMyBets
- May 5, 2023
- 1 min read
MLB
(5/5/23) 9:40PM Eastern.
ML: Nationals +160 / D-Backs -190
Over/Under 9
Josiah Gray has been on the better pitchers in baseball this year. He struggled in his first start of 2023 but he’s been lights out since. Allowing just 5 ER in his last 5 starts (28.2 IP). His average Exit Velo of 85.0 and Hard Hit % of 27.4 both rank in the top 9%. That 27.4% Hard Hit % would rank 4th among qualified starters in 2022. Gray has picked up a win in each of his last 2 starts.
D-Backs SP Merrill Kelly has been one of baseball’s most fortunate. He has an ERA of 3.06 but an xERA of 5.49. That gap always tightens up. He hasn’t been as sharp at home this year either. Pitching to a 4.86 ERA in his 3 home starts. The Nationals offense isn’t great, but they are hitting .260 in their last 7 games. Their top 2 relievers got the day off yesterday too.
