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Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors NBA Free Picks, Odds, Preview, Prediction, 1/27/23


(1/27/23) 10:00 PM Eastern.

Spread: Raptors +5.5 / Warriors -5.5

ML: Raptors +175 / Warriors -210

Total: Over / Under 234.5

The Pick: TOR/GSW O234.5.

This is a tough match-up for Toronto defensively. They’re one of the worst perimeter defending teams in the NBA, allowing teams to shoot 37.4% from deep (3rd worst). That’s also up to 43.5% in their last 3 games. Golden State on the other hand shoots 37.8% from deep (6th best) and they lead the league with 43.3 3PT attempts per game. They’re also shooting 46.7% from deep in their last 3. Golden State hung up 126 on Toronto earlier this year even without Curry, shooting 18-39 (46%) from beyond the arc. Why not back the Warriors? Because their defense can’t be trusted, and Toronto is playing well offensively. The Warriors defense has allowed 113 or more in 11 straight games. During that 11 game stretch they’re letting up an average of 121.9 points per game. On the other side you have a Toronto squad that’s put up 117 or more in 7 out of it’s last 10. They’re averaging 118.9 points per game in that span. They’re shooting nearly 50% from the field in their last 3 games, up from a season average of 45.2%. The Warriors simply don’t have anyone that can defend Siakam. They play small and when they met earlier this year, Siakam dropped 27. This will end up an up-tempo high-flying affair.

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