Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — Monday, August 3, 2026

7:05 PM ET

Spread: STL -1.5 (-118) / NYY +1.5 (-102)

ML: STL +180 / NYY -220

Over/Under: 8

Free Pick: Yankees RL (-1.5) -102

Cam Schlittler takes the mound for New York tonight riding one of the best seasons in baseball — a 2.04 ERA, 165 strikeouts, and a 10-6 record that undersells how dominant he's been. He's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last ten starts. St. Louis counters with Michael McGreevy, a capable arm whose 3.57 ERA sits more than a run and a half higher than Schlittler's. When the gap on the mound is this wide, it doesn't just point to a Yankees win — it points to a comfortable one.

St. Louis arrives at 55-57, fourth in the NL Central and well outside the playoff picture. New York, by contrast, sits at 63-49 and squarely in the thick of the AL East race. This is a Cardinals club with little left to play for, walking into Yankee Stadium against the best pitcher they'll see all week.

New York is still without Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton, while Jazz Chisholm hasn't looked fully right either. But covering a run and a half doesn't require a vintage Yankees lineup — it just requires a handful of runs behind a starter who's been shutting teams down all season. Multiple prediction models project this game finishing around 6-3 or 5-3 in New York's favor — a margin that clears the number even with a shorthanded lineup.

Bottom Line: Cam Schlittler's dominance against a middling McGreevy, a sub-.500 Cardinals club playing on the road, and a Yankees team that doesn't need its full lineup to win by two all point the same direction. Lean Yankees Run Line (-1.5).

Odds referenced at time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly — if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.