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SF Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Predictions (5/11/23)

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(5/11/23) 9:40PM Eastern.

ML: Giants -145 / D-Backs +125

RL: Giants -1.5 +115 / D-Backs +1.5 +130

Over/Under 9.5

First off, the Roof is open. Chase field plays like Coors Field when that Dome isn’t closed. Alex Cobb starts for SF. He has a career road ERA of 4.36 and an 8.36 ERA in 3 starts at Chase Field. He gave up 9 Runs (8 Earned) in 2 starts @ AZ last season. Then in 2021 allowed 5 ER in 3 innings. He’s made 6 career starts vs the Diamondbacks and has a 6.1 ERA. His most recent road start came in SD. He gave up 3 ER in 5 IP. D-Backs are hitting .295 with an .850 OPS over the last week.

Tommy Henry starts for the D-Backs. He has a 5.17 ERA through 3 starts. His first start came against KC on April 25th. KC ranked dead last offensively through April. He allowed 4 ER in 5.1 IP at Colorado. Bullpen bailed him out. Then he went 6 innings allowing just 2 ER vs Washington. Nats weren’t without opportunities as 8 guys reached base. Giants were struggling vs LHP but Health and Call Ups have changed that.

Prospect Casey Schmitt hit .323 vs LHP in the Minors and is 2 for 3 with a HR in the MLB. VS LHP: Austin Slater has a 1.282 OPS, Wilmer Flores has a 1.006 OPS, Lamone Wade .989 OPS, Mitch Haniger batting .333, and Estrada hitting .311.

These bullpens rank 25th and 28th. They each have a few top relief options, but the meat of their bullpens is awful. If either starter gets chased early or this game gets lopsided the opposing team could feast.

Bonus Free Pick: Casey Schmitt Over 1.5 Bases +140.

The kid got the call up and delivered. In his first game he went 2 for 4 with a HR, following game he went 2 for 4 with a double. He did it against quality pitching too. Corbin was throwing the ball very well for Washington and Josiah Gray is one of baseball’s young studs. He’s hit .333 and slugged .484 vs LHP down in the Minors and is 2 for 3 vs LHP in the MLB. Tommy Henry’s allowed 17 hits in 15.2 innings and the D-Backs bullpen is below average.


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