San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets, 4/5/22 NBA Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction


4/5/22 9:00 PM Eastern Time

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Spread: Spurs +8.5 / Nuggets -8.5

Moneyline: Spurs +280 / Nuggets -350

Total: Over/Under 234.5

The Spurs travel to Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets at 9:00PM Eastern Time tonight. Both teams need this win, the Spurs are trying to fend off the Lakers for the last spot of the play in tournament and the current #5 seed Nuggets could end the year as the 4th seed or fall to #7 and see themselves in the play in tournament.

The Spurs have been playing great basketball as of late. They’ve won 7 of their L9 games SU while averaging 115.6 ppg during that stretch. That’s 2.5 points higher than their 8th ranked NBA offense has been averaging all season. They also rank 10th defensively in opponents ppg during that stretch at 109.6. San Antonio is hot ATS as well, they’ve covered 6 of their L7 games and 11 of their L15 games on the road vs winning teams. The Under has hit in 6 of their L8 and 5 of their L6 as an underdog.

The Nuggets offense has been on fire, over their L9 games they’re averaging 120.8 points per game. They’re just 3-6 SU during that stretch though and it’s because of nonexistent defense. Opponents are average 120.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA over that span. The Rockets own the worst defense in the NBA on the year and they only allow 118.1 ppg. ATS Denver is just 1-4 their L5, 4-9 their L13 as Favorites, and 1-7 their L8 at home. The Over has hit in 8 of their L10 games.

Historically the Spurs own this series in Denver, going 19-9 ATS their L28 games. The Over is also 6-2 in their L8 meetings together. Expect plenty of points in this one but San Antonio has the offense to keep up and a stingy defense of late.


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