New England Patriots vs New York Jets NFL Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction (9/19/24)

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NFL

8:15 PM EST.

Spread: NE +6. / NYJ -6.

ML: NE +225 / NYJ +275

Over/Under: 37.5

Free Pick: Breece Hall Under 69.5 Rushing Yards.

Through 2 games the NE Patriots defense is 2nd in rushing yards allowed and 3rd in rushing yards per carry. NE ranked 3rd and 1st in those 2 categories last year. New Head Coach but not much has changed schematically for the Patriots defense as they hired from within. The Jets OL has 3 new starters this year and they're still putting it altogether. Breece is averaging just 3.9 YPC and has gone under this total in each of his first 2 games. He gets a lot of work as a receiver which limits his carries. Rookie RB Braleon Allen is going to take some of the workload after a breakout game last week, especially on a short week.

Free Pick: Rodgers Over 213.5 Passing Yards.

Geno Smith just threw for 327 yards on this Patriots Defense in Foxborough last Sunday. Through 2 games NE ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game. They’ve been great against the run, ranking 2nd in rushing yards allowed per game and 3rd in YPC. They were 3rd and 1st in those same categories a season ago. The Jets rushing attack has also struggled, ranking 21st in YPC. For this Jets offense to have success Aaron Rodgers will have to throw and quite a bit. Being the Jets Home Opener, we trust Rodgers to perform.

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