Major League Players Club MLB 4-5 Units (4/13/25)

MLB

1 Picks (5 Units).

4:10PM EST: Brewers/Diamondbacks Under 8.5 -120 (5U).

MIL SP Freddy Peralta has a 2.0 ERA and a 2.37 xERA. He's been lights out allowing an opponent Ba of just .142. In his 2 road starts he's allowed a combined 3ER and all via solo homerun. Chase Field is the tale of 2 ballparks and it's all about the roof being open or closed. Ball flies when it opens but with the Arizona heat it rarely is. It'll be closed today as it'll be 90°+ for the start of this game. Chase Field is 24th in HR Factor over the last 3 years and that's accounting for when it's open. Peralta has also dominated these Diamondbacks, limiting them to a .185 BA in 60 career plate appearances. He has a .84 ERA in 5 career games (21.1 IP) and 3 starts vs Arizona.

AZ SP Zac Gallen has had some struggles at Home this year which is something considering he has a 3.08 ERA in 71 career starts at Chase Field. In each of his full seasons as a starter his ERA has been lower at home compared to on the road. He had a 3.36 ERA in 15 Starts at home last year and a 2.47 ERA in 16 starts in 2023. So far this season he he’s allowed 4ER in his first Home start and 5ER in the next. He tossed 6.2 scoreless innings at NYY with 13K's in his lone road start. The early home struggles are likely an anomaly, and they have had that roof open quite a bit through the early season. The vintage Zac Gallen performance is coming at home sooner rather than later.