MLB (1 Pick)
3:45pm est: SF Giants -1.5 +130 (4 Units)
Mikolas is really struggling in 2023. He has a 7.46 ERA across 5 starts. He’s allowed at least 3 Runs in every start this year. He’s also not as sharp on the road. Last year he had a 4.1 road ERA compared to a 2.38 at home. That was his 2nd best big-league season. Going back to his best in 2018, 3.53 road ERA compared to a 2.17 at home. All in all, his career road ERA is a 4.28. The Giants offense has finally turned it on, and it’s helped them win 5 straight games. They’ve plated 28 runs in their last 5 games and at have scored at least 4 in everyone.
SF SP Logan Webb started the 5 game Win streak against the Mets last Saturday. After a tough couple starts to 2023 he’s been sharp in his last 3. Allowing 1 ER in 6IP vs the Dodgers, 4 ER in 6.2IP vs the Marlins, then 2 ER in 7IP vs the Mets. He was unlucky against the Marlins. Some very weak and perfectly placed ground balls led to a pair of those runs. He has an xERA of 3.46 and an average launch angle of 2.8°. He throws a heavy sinker and keeps the ball down. Friendly matchup against a slow Cardinals lineup. They’re also in a 3 way tie for 22nd in grounding into double plays per game.
The Cardinals are just 1-5 in their last 6 games with a team OPS of .693 during that span. They’ve scored more than 4 runs just once, their lone win over the Mariners.
