CHECK MULTIPLE BOOKS TO GET BETTER ODDS. IT ADDS UP OVER THE COURSE OF A 7 MONTH SEASON!
1) 9:40pm est: Rockies ML +170 (3 Units) ✅
Right back to the well tonight. The Rockies bats were hot in the spring, and they came out hot to start the season. They had 17 hits last night and it didn’t matter who was pitching. 6 Hits on Snell, 4 vs Crismatt, 5 on Tapia, then 2 in the 9th vs Wilson. The Rockies have great numbers vs Nick Martinez too. Blackmon .417 AVG on 17 AB, Cron .320 on 25, Daza .429 on 7, McMahon .427 on 7, Moustakas .375 on 8. Last year the Rockies slashed .310/.372/ .479 in 71 at bats vs Martinez.
Like Marquez and nearly every other pitcher in Rockies history, Freeland is better on the road. 3.08 era in 15 road starts last year compared to a 6.0 era in his 16 at home. He sports a 2.55 era when pitching inside Petco Park (Padres Stadium) since 2020 too. As good as this SD line-up looks on paper, they still haven’t put it all together and some of their best bats are worse vs LH Pitching. Soto, LH batter, hit just .210 vs LH in 2022. His OPS was .241 points worse. Machado hit .259, OPS was down .060. They’re just deep with LH batters at the moment. When Tatis returns from suspension in late April, it’ll more than balance them out.
Marquez did his job going 6 innings last night. The Rockies bullpen is still intact and at their disposal as they try to jump to a 2-0 series lead against their division rivals.
2) 10:10pm est: (ARI) Corbin Carroll to record a double +450 (2 Units) ✅
The odds on favorite for Rookie of the Year came up empty against the Dodgers last night but he took some quality at bats. He only came up to the plate 3 times, but he put the ball in play every time. All 3 batted balls left his bat at 94mph+. Why does that matter? Because Hard Hit Balls (Exit Velo Greater than 95mph) produce results. Most seasons, hard hit balls have an average north of .500 and a slugging % north of 1.000. Those numbers will increase without the shift too. It’s not rocket science, hit the ball hard, good things happen. Carroll did that last night and came up empty. He was a monster in the spring and swung the bat well on opening day. He was the fastest recorded baserunner in 2022 and if he can push a single into a double, he has the speed for it. D-Backs made it a point of emphasis to be aggressive on the base paths this year to help manufacture runs. 33% of his hits went for doubles last year and he’s seen Dustin May before. Going 1/3 with a bases clearing double in May’s final start of 22. Good value on this tonight.
