Major League Players Club MLB 1-5 Units (6/1/24)

MLB

5 Picks.

4:05PM EST: Rays ML +135 (4 Units).

TB Starter Taj Bradley has been dominant, posting a 3.13 ERA with a .183 opponent BA and .91 WHIP through 4 starts. 5 of his 8 earned runs allowed this season came in a back-to-back against Boston and as a young pitcher it’s not surprising to see him struggle in that spot. He's been otherwise lights out and has tremendous stuff. He's also held the current Orioles roster to a .212 BA in 34 career plate appearances. The Rays top relievers were stellar in May. Fairbanks didn't allow a single ER, Clevinger .71 ERA, and Maton .79 ERA. Jason Adam also had a 2.45 ERA and a couple others in the 3's. Tampa Bay can shut down the O's offense today.

BAL Starter Kyle Bradish is coming off his best start of the year. He was injured to start the year and has made 5 starts to date. He failed to pitch into the 6th inning in each of his first 4 starts before throwing 7 no hit innings with 11 strikeouts against the White Sox his last time out. The White Sox are plain terrible but that's a taxing start. He threw 103 pitches, and his previous season high was 90 back on May 8th. He threw 74 the start prior to facing the White Sox. Of his 58 career starts dating back to 2022, Bradish has faced the Rays 5 times, including 3 times last season. He has a 6.18 ERA against them, and the current Rays roster has a .302 BA against him in 67 plate appearances. He's improved but they scored 8 combined runs against him last year and no less than 2 in any start.

4:10PM EST: Marlins ML -110 (3 Units).

Marlins SP Ryan Weathers went 5 for 5 with quality starts in the month of May, pitching to a 1.91 ERA. The Rangers offense is 24th in OPS vs Lefties and were 22nd in OPS in May. On the year they're 15th in OPS. This isn't the same offense as last year despite many of the same names. Texas starts Michael Lorenzen and he's pitched well. He's never finished a season as a full-time starter with an ERA below 4.18 and at 32 years old there's regression coming. Miami's bats are hot, scoring 8 and 9 runs in their last 2 games.

4:10PM EST: CWS/MIL Under 7 (3 Units).

Decent chance this game’s delayed or postponed but the weather's a factor for this Under. Ideally, she's delayed, and temps continue to drop but either way there's wet grass to slow ground balls and wind blowing in to knock down fly balls.

CWS SP Garrett posted a .93 ERA in May, a perfect 5 for 5 in Quality starts. The Brewers offense is much stronger vs Righties (2nd in OPS) compared to Lefties (12th). MIL SP Robert Gasser has allowed just 1 run in 3 Home starts this season. He's also a Lefty and the White Sox are dead last in OPS vs both RHP and LHP but it's nearly .020 points lower vs Lefties.

10:05PM EST: Giants ML -110 (2 Units).

NYY SP Cody Peteet pitched well in his pinstripes debut but he's not some bona fide starter. He had a 4.05 ERA in the minors before being called up to fill in for the injured Clarke Schmidt. SF SP Logan Webb has a 2.59 career era at Home across 61 appearances as a member of the Giants. He has a 1.03 Home ERA so far this season and finished last year with a 2.26. He's a heavy ground ball pitcher and as good as this Yankees offense is, they're 1st in grounded into double plays per game.

10:10PM EST: Rockies ML +265 (2 Units).

Cashed on them +285 last night and we're backing the red-hot Rockies again today, albeit a smaller play. Quantrill has been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last month and a half and we highlighted the Dodgers offensive struggles last night. The Rockies bullpen is just less than stellar, with only 2 guys throwing well at the moment. They both pitched yesterday and will be available again tonight, but LA's gotten a look at them.

Yamamoto starts for LA, and he's allowed 10 combined runs over his last 3 starts. The Rockies offensive production continued last night, and they just continue to get runners on base. They've won back-to-back series against the Phillies and Guardians. The best and 3rd best teams in baseball. The Dodgers have failed to live up to the hype thus far and these odds are once again too good to pass up.