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3 Picks.
6:40PM EST: DET/CLE Under 7 (2 Units).
DET SP Jack Flaherty hasn't allowed more than 3ER in 11 of his last 12 starts. He has a 2.04 ERA over his last 7 starts, allowing 1ER or less in 5 of them. He's faced Cleveland twice this season, posting a combined stat line of 12IP, 8 Hits, 3 ER, 3 Walks. Even last year in his worst full season as a starter he went into Cleveland and held them to 1 ER across 7 innings. CLE SP Tanner Bibee has pitched very well over his last 6 starts. He had 1 hiccup against SF but otherwise stellar. He's allowed 3ER or less in 14 of his 20 starts and 4ER or less in 18. He keeps the game in check and Cleveland's bullpen's the best at throwing up zeros.
7:07PM EST: Blue Jays First 5 Innings ML -110 (2 Units). TB SP Zach Eflin has a 5.52 ERA on the road this season. He's allowed 4 runs or more in 4 straight road starts and 5 of his last 6. He allowed 2 across 4IP @ Miami in the one outlier. He's faced Toronto twice this season, allowing 6 and 4 earned runs. TOR SP Yariel Rodriguez came off the IL towards the end of June and got healthy for July. He has a 1.62 ERA in 3 July starts (16.2 IP) with 19 strikeouts. He was a big time FA signing from Japan and is limited to roughly 80 pitches. He pitched 6.2 and 6 innings in his first 2 July starts but just 4 in his latest before the All-Star Break. Tampa has the much stronger bullpen which is why we're just playing the First 5 innings. 8:10PM EST: AZ/KC Under 9 (2 Units).
AZ SP Ryne Nelson has a 3.29 ERA over his last 7 appearances. He's gone 5 innings plus in all but one of those starts. He gave up 6ER at Home over 3.2 IP to Minnesota. Excluding that game, he's allowed 9ER combined over his last 6. He's struggled at Home all year as is, posting a 6.21 ERA at Chase Field compared to his 3.58 ERA on the road. He's allowed 1ER exactly in each of his last 3 road games and 2ER over 7IP in the road start prior. He started the 2nd half of the season hot recording a career high 9 strikeouts @ Wrigley last Friday. KC SP Michael Wacha has allowed 2ER or less in 9 of his last 10 starts and has a 2.3 ERA over that span. He also has a 2.96 ERA at Home this season, allowing 2ER or less in all but one. Both bullpens are also in great shape. Only 1 reliever between the 2 teams has thrown more than 22 pitches in the last 3 days.