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Major League Players Club MLB 1-2 Units (5/3/24)

MLB

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2:20PM EST: MIL/CHC Under 7.5 (2 Units).


MIL SP Joe Ross has a 5.4 ERA through 5 starts but his number's are inflated from a couple tough luck outings. His xERA is at 3.51, his Hard-Hit Rate is good at 39%, and he's only walked 7 batters over his last 4 starts. He's pitched very well outside of Milwaukee's hitter friendly American Family Field, posting a 2.31 ERA in 2 road starts. He has a freshly loaded Brewers bullpen behind him after a day off yesterday. Offensively the Cubs are slashing .170/.256/.508 over the last week and have scored just 16 runs over their last 6 games.


CHC SP Hayden Wesneski has a .87 ERA through 3 appearances (1 start). He made his lone start against Boston his last time out, allowing 1ER across 4IP and 63 pitches thrown. He's bounced back and forth between starter/reliever, making 11 starts in 34 appearances last year. His arm with be a bit more stretched out, enabling him to pitch deeper. The all important wind is blowing IN at Wrigley. Colder temperatures as well working in the mid to low 50's. It will help keep the ball from leaving the park.


6:45PM EST: TOR/WSH Under 8.5 (2 Units).


Kikuchi had been lights out for Toronto before struggling against the Dodgers his last time out. His defense certainly didn't help him early in that game but LA was swinging the bats well going into it. He still allowed just 4ER across 6IP. The Nationals lineup is much weaker and they're batting just .214 with a .632 OPS vs Lefties this year. He'll be sharper today and closer to the version that allowed just 4 combined runs in the 4 starts prior to LA. Toronto had the day of yesterday so the bullpen is fresh. Patrick Corbin starts for Washington. As bad as he's been these last few years he's allowed 4ER or less in 4 of 6 starts. Those aren't great numbers but 2/3 of this Nationals bullpen is good and they all got the night off in their 0-6 Loss to Texas yesterday. Corbin's made 2 Home starts this year, allowing 4ER across 6 IP to PHI and throwing 5.1 shutout innings against the Dodgers. Toronto's offense has scored more than 3 runs in just 1 of their last 8 games too. Corbin's a big ground ball guy and Toronto's 3rd in Grounding into Double Play rate this season. Corbin just needs to pass it off without the doors completely blown off.

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