NFL
6 Picks (18 Units).
12:30PM EST: Bears +9.5 (3 Units), Over 48 (3 Units).
Rookie QB Caleb Williams is coming off a career day, completing 32 of 47 pass attempts for 340 yards and 2 Touchdowns in a tough 30-27 overtime loss to Minnesota on Sunday. Week prior to that he completed 23 of 31 passes for 231 yards to go along with 9 carries for 70 yards. That was also a close loss to division rival Green Bay. The improved play comes after Chicago parted ways with OC Shane Waldron and elevated passing game coordinator Thomas Brown. Much better-looking Bears offense since they've made the switch and both games came against top defenses.
Despite being a Top 10 scoring defense, this is a tough matchup for Chicago. They're 26th in rushing yards allowed per carry and going up against the 4th best rushing team in Football. It's no secret that everything starts on the ground for Detroit and deadly play-action comes off it. Playing on the road it's hard to see Chicago stopping a Lions offense that's averaging 37.6 points per game at Home.
Like Chicago's offense to do enough to keep them within the number. It's also a divisional game which helps keeps things interesting. These 2 split last year with the Bears winning at Home 28-13 and losing 31-26 in Detroit. Lions defense is also getting a little too much love right now for beating up on the Colts and Jaguars the last couple weeks.
4:30PM EST: Giants +3.5 (3 Units), Under 37.5 (3 Units).
With Tommy Cutlets getting hurt last week the Giants turn to QB Drew Lock. It's the best deep ball thrower the Giants will start this season, not that that's saying much. The Giants laid an egg against TB after the whole Daniel Jones fiasco and that was to be expected. We do like them to show up here against their Division Rivals on Thanksgiving Day.
It's really a battle of who's worse and we like it to fall in between. The Cowboys defense has been atrocious, allowing 26+ in 6 straight contests but the Giants offense isn't much better, scoring 20+ in just 1 of their last 6. The only constant thing about either of these teams has been the NY Giants defense, ranking 17th in points allowed per game this season. The Cowboys offense had a nice day against a struggling Washington team their last time out, but this is still Cooper Rush and a hurt one at that. In his 2 starts prior to Washington the Cowboys offense put up 10 and 6 points.
The first meeting between these 2 his season featured Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones at QB with Dallas winning 20-15. Drew Lock will at least let NY push the ball down the field a bit but we expect another ugly low scoring game.
8:20PM EST: Packers -3 (3 Units), Under 48 (3 Units).
28° Temps and 12 MPH Winds at Lambeu is a brutal spot for a Florida football team. This is also the same script Miami's followed under HC Mike McDaniel. They go out and light it up with their high-flying offense against bad football teams and the hype around them builds. Then they play quality football teams that play playoff football, and they lose ugly after getting punched in the mouth. Miami's 1-15 in their last 16 games against teams that made the playoffs the last 2 years or have a winning record this year. Teams that win when it counts pound it between the tackles and play tough physical defense. Something Miami's been incapable of. Even during this little 3 game win streak the Dolphins are averaging just 3 yards per carry on offense. On a short week we're taking Green Bay to bully Miami at Home with a heavy dose of RB Josh Jacobs.
