NCAAF
4 Picks (15 Units).
12PM EST: WF vs Miami Over 67 (5 Units).
Miami's coming off a Bye Week and a Loss. They're averaging 49 points per game at Home this season and dropped 51 on Duke the last time they played at Hard Rock Stadium. Wake Forest ranks 114th in points allowed per game. Miami's poised to light it up offensively and Wake Forest should be able to do their part. Wake Forest has scored 23+ on everyone but Clemson and Ole Miss, 2 of the best defenses in the Country. Miami's held just 1 team below 28 points in Conference Play and it was the dreadful Florida State. Excluding FSU they've allowed allowed 35.2 PPG in Conference Play. Wake's offense is decent enough and they've scored 23 or more in every road game this season.
12PM EST: Indiana vs Ohio State Under 52.5 (3 Units). Going to learn a lot about Indiana and head coach Curt Cignetti in this game. Indiana's offense has been on cruise control most of this year but they got stymied by a talented Michigan defense their last time out and that was at Home. They've played just 3 road games all year and they were against 3 of the worst teams in the Big 10. Ohio State isn't just an elite defense, they're arguably the best in College Football. They lead the nation in points allowed per game and Oregon was the only team to score more than 17 points against them. That game was also played in Eugene. An OSU loss here and their Big 10 title hopes are pretty much shot. Also just a pride thing for the Buckeyes who've traditionally been the class of the Big 10. Buckeye nation won't lack intensity for this one.
Offensively for Ohio State the offensive lines had some issues and things just got a whole lot worse. They lost their starting Center for the year in practice on Tuesday. Indiana's 2nd in the Nation allowing just 2.7 YPC. They were tested physically by Michigan last week and held the Wolverines to just 69 rushing yards on 34 carries. OSU QB Will Howard is a fine QB but he's not a truly elite passer. The Buckeyes offense has been held to 21 at Home against Nebraska and then 20 at Penn State this season. Indiana coming off a bye week gives them extra time to prepare as well.
3:30PM EST: Arizona State -3 (4 Units).
ASU's been a pleasant surprise in HC Kenny Dillingham's 2nd season. Their 2 losses have come on the road and they just beat down a talented KSU team on the road 24-14 last week. BYU just isn't playing great football of late. They lost 13-17 at Home to Kansas last week, beat Utah 22-21 despite the Utes being down multiple QBs, and squeaked out a 38-35 win over last place Oklahoma State 4 games back. The 3rd game was a 37-24 win over UCF. Those are 4 of the bottom 5 teams in the Big 12. BYU needs a reawakening and it's hard to see that coming on the road against an ASU team playing it's best football.
7:30PM EST: Alabama/Oklahoma Under 46.5 (3 Units).
Oklahoma's offense has scored more than 16 points just once in Conference Play and it was against a terrible Auburn team. Alabama's defense is playing as well as they have all season, limiting LSU to 13 points 2 weeks back following a shut out against Missouri. They smoked FCS Mercer last week and that works as a mini bye week. Doubt they spent much time preparing for Mercer with Oklahoma and Auburn left on the schedule. The Sooners defense is a very stout group that just so happens to play opposite one of the worst Power 5 offenses. OU switched back to QB Jackson Arnold 4 games back and he has yet to throw a pick since. Helps keep a lid on the game and limits chaos. All 3 of Oklahoma's Conference Home Games have gone Under this total so far this season.
