NFL
2 Picks.
4:25PM EST: SF/LAR Under 44.5 (2 Units).
Lengthy injury report. SF is without CMC, Deebo, and Kittle's doubtful after not practicing all week. The Rams are without WR's Kupp and Nacua, but they also have 5 offensive linemen on the IR with 3 starters going down since the season began. SF scored 17 points last week and the Rams 10. These two are incredibly familiar with one another and it's tough to see many explosive plays throughout this game with all the firepower that's missing. Would go heavier but these are two of the best offensive minds in the game.
8:20PM EST: Falcons +3.5 (2 Units).
The Falcons stole a win last week in Philly, but they got back to their roots of running the football. Kansas City had an average run defense last year and has been through 2 games this year. It's also a lot easier to defend the run at Home when the opposing team can't really use a hard count. The Chiefs lost their top CB from last season, and they've been weaker on the back end because of it. Lamar threw for 273 yards against them Week 1 and Burrow 258 in Week 2. This Falcons passing attack will only improve as the season moves along. That game winning drive against Philly would have you think they've been smooth sailing all along. This is a good Chiefs defense but it's not the same as last years. They allowed 25 points last week and were a couple inches way from letting up 27 in Week 1.
Atlanta's defense is going to be one of the better units in the NFL this season. They were a top 5 scoring defense before throwing in the towel the final 2 weeks of last season and they've brought their key pieces back. They hired a defensive HC who's had a lot of success with much less talent. They struggled a bit with designed QB runs from Hurts last week and Fields week 1 but that's not Mahomes's game.
The Chiefs really deserved to lose to the Bengals last week. They had just 286 total yards of offense and went 1 for 8 on third downs. Mahomes threw for a career low 151 yards. Pacheco had a good day running the football, but he just hit the IR. Their RB depth isn't great, and CEH still isn't with the team. Pacheco has been a massive part of this offense, and his physical running helps keep KC ahead of the chains. It's a significant loss. Even KC's win over BAL was a couple inches away from going to OT. They're not exactly firing on all cylinders just yet, so we'll gladly take this FG and buy the Hook.
