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Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tarheels, 4/2/22 NCAAB Free Pick, Odds, Preview


8:49PM Eastern Time

Spread: Duke -4 / North Carolina +4

Moneyline: Duke -195 / North Carolina +165

Total: Over/Under 151

#2 Duke Blue Devils and #8 North Carolina Tarheels square off in the Final Four for an epic first ever meeting between these bitter rivals in the NCAA Tournament. On one side you have arguably the Greatest College Basketball coach of all time in Coach K looking for the perfect end to his legendary career and on the other, first-time head coach Hubert Davis leading a group nobody predicted would get this far. They met twice during the regular season, splitting the series 1-1 but UNC spoiled Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium with an impressive 94-81 upset.

#2 Duke is coming off a dominant performance against #4 Arkansas that saw rookie AJ Griffin lead the way with 18 points on an efficient 7-9 from the field and 2-3 from deep. Throughout the NCAA Tournament future top 5 pick Paulo Banchero has paced things for the Blue Devils averaging 18.5 ppg. Center Mark Williams (14.5 ppg) has been incredibly efficient inside shooting over 80% from the floor. Meanwhile Wendell Moore (13.5 ppg), Jeremy Roach (12.8 ppg), and AJ Griffin (11.5 ppg) are all shooting over 50% from the floor as well. Duke has won 13 of its L15 straight up but they’re just 3-7 ATS their L10 games in the NCAA Tournament. The Over has been trending, hitting in 8 of their L10 games and 7 of their L9 games played at a neutral site.

#8 Tarheels just ended the fan favorites #15 St Peter’s Cinderella run rather handily. Big men Armando Bacot and Brady Manek proved too much for them to handle as they combined for 39 points against the undersize Peacocks. Manek has been lighting it up in the Tournament, averaging 21.5 ppg shooting 57.7% from the floor and 47.1% from deep. Caleb Love (18ppg) and Armando Bacot (16.5ppg) are the Tarheel’s next leading scorers. UNC’s been the hot team, covering in 4 straight games and 9 of their L11 vs teams with a winning record. The Over has also hit in 6 straight games when UNC faces a team with a winning record and 5 of their L7 games as an underdog.

On the year Duke’s averaging over 80ppg and North Carolina isn’t far behind at 78ppg. The last 6 times these two have played the Over has hit in all 6 and during those 6 games they’ve averaging over 171 points combined. Both games this year went over today’s total of 151 and we expect that to happen again. Go ahead and HIT THAT OVER!


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