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Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles NFL Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction, 10/16/22


(10/16/22) 8:20 PM Eastern.

Spread: Cowboys +6.5 / Eagles -6.5

Moneyline: Cowboys +225 / Eagles -275

Total: Over / Under 42

WinMyBets Free Pick of the week is an NFC East showdown with 1st place on the line. The undefeated Philadelphia Eagles host the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys on prime-time Sunday night. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20p.m. eastern time at Lincoln Financial Field.

Dallas Cowboys (4-1)

All hope appeared to be lost when starting QB Dak Prescott fractured his thumb in a week 1 loss vs the Buccaneers. Then Cooper Rush stepped up, and Dallas rolled off 4 straight wins, including 2 division wins. He’s likely to start in this game with Dak just returning to practice. He’s not flashy, he’s averaging 167.8 passing yards per game with 4 passing touchdowns on the year but he hasn’t turned the ball over. He’s done exactly what you want your back-up QB to do.

Ezekiel Elliot is still the RB1 in Dallas but there’s clamoring for Pollard to be more involved. Zeke has 305 yards rushing on 81 attempts, an average on 3.8 yards per carry. Pollard meanwhile has 248 yards on just 44 attempts, 5.6 yards per carry. Just last week Pollard went for 86 yards on just 8 carries while Zeke went for 78 on 22 carries.

CeeDee Lamb has led the receiving room all year, reeling in 28 catches for 341 yards and 2 touchdowns. Noah Brown has been a surprise, making key plays for this Cowboys offense. He has 19 catches for 279 yards and 1 TD on the young season. Michael Gallup missed the first 3 games of the season with injury but continues to get more involved as he gets 100%, he had 5 receptions for 44 yards last week.

Dallas’s defense has been Elite and has carried this team with Dak missing time. They rank 3rd in pts allowed per game and their pass rush has gotten home 20 times, 2nd most in the NFL. Micah Parsons picked up where he left off last year, tied for most sacks on the year with 6. Dorance Armstrong, the 5th year DE out of Kansas is enjoying a breakout campaign. He’s racked up 4 sacks on the season, nearly matching last year’s total of 5. CB Trevon Diggs has built upon an impressive rookie campaign. He’s no longer letting up the big plays while still securing 2 interceptions this year.

Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)

Jalen Hurts is an MVP candidate. He’s leading one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL. The Eagles average 27 points per gam (5th in the NFL), 431.8 yards per game (2nd), 271.8 passing yards per game (10th), 160 rushing yards per game (2nd), and convert one 43.8% of third downs (6th). Hurts has 1,359 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns to pair with his 266 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns. He’s always been able to run but he made a leap as a thrower, currently completing 67.9 percent of his passes.

Part of the reason for Hurts improvement as a passer has been the addition of A.J. Brown. He leads a loaded receiving corps for the Eagles, reeling in 28 passes for 436 yards and 1 TD. The talented Devonta Smith also has 28 catches but for 353 yards and 1 TD. They also own one of the better receiving Tight Ends in the NFL in Dallas Goedert, he has 24 receptions for 335 yards and 1 TD. Miles Sanders is the teams unquestioned RB1, he has 87 rushes for 414 yards and 3 scores.

Philly’s defense has also been lights out, after an ugly week 1 performance, they’ve allowed an average of just 13.3 points per game. They have 16 sacks on the year, led by LB Hassan Reddick with 4.5. Defensive lineman Brandam Graham and Fletcher Cox each have 3. This team has excelled at taking the ball away, they have 6 interceptions and 5 fumble recovers. The 11 total takeaways is tied for first in the NFL.

The Pick

These are two of the best defenses in the NFL facing two offenses that like to run the football. This Dallas offense ranks 24th in PPG at 18.6 and 28th in yards per game at 310. With Cooper Rush at the helm, this offense runs through Zeke and Pollard, burning clock. They face an Eagles defense that’s allowed just 13.3 PPG in their last 4. The Cowboys haven’t faced a defense like Philly and the Cowboys offense is going to struggle. On the flip side this Eagles offense may have impressive numbers but they haven’t faced much competition. The Jacksonville Jaguars owns the best defense that they’ve faced all year. This Cowboys defense is elite, allowing just 14.4 points per game. They also have the 2nd most sacks in the NFL with 20 and despite weak competition, Hurts has been sacked 11 times this season. The Eagles also prefer to run the ball, they have 186 rushing attempts to 159 passing. This clock is going to get eaten up by these teams rushing attack. The Under is 13-3-1 in the Cowboys last 17, 7-1 in their last 8 road games, and 5-0 in their last 5 vs NFC opponents. For Philly the Under’s 4-1 in their last 5 vs the NFC and 5-2 the last 7 times they’ve hosted Dallas.

WinMyBets NFL Pick: DAL/PHI Under 42.


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