Courtside Players Club NCAAB 1-3 Units (2/11/25)

NCAAB

3 Picks (9 Units).

7PM EST: Michigan -2 (3 Units).

Revenge spot after getting embarrassed at Purdue a few weeks ago. Michigan responded and won 4 straight after that loss but they've still failed to cover in 7 straight games. That's bound to give way sooner rather than later and the Public is all over Purdue in this spot. The potent Purdue offense has some major splits, seeing their shooting % drop from 52.3% at Home to just 46.1% on the road. Every offense struggles some on the road but they're 3rd in FG% at Home and 52nd in FG% on the road. We expect the rebounding edge to be significant tonight. Michigan's 29th in rebound rate while Purdue's ranked 114th. Playing at Home in a revenge spot, the Wolverine's should be a bit hungrier for loose balls and we expect that to show up on the stat sheet.

7PM EST: Tennessee -2.5 (3 Units).

Tennessee is also out for revenge after losing to Kentucky at Home. When these two met a couple weeks ago Tennessee was in a bit of a shooting slump. They've since busted out of it and are shooting a tick below 50% in their last 3 games, all of which were wins. They really didn't play terribly against Kentucky in the loss, they were just cold from the field. They put up 22 more shots to just 7 less free throws. On the contrary Kentucky was hot, knocking down 12/24 3-PT shots. It wasn’t like they were getting wide open looks all game either. The Vols have the number 1 ranked 3-PT defense in NCAAB. Great shooting just beats elite defense at times. We like things to come back to the mean here and that would mean a Tennessee win. Despite playing on the road the #1 ranked Vols defense travels everywhere. Kentucky's defense is still terrible (90th DRtg) and Tennessee's shooters have busted out of their slumps.

9PM EST: Bama/Texas Over 166 (3 Units).

Texas is in the bottom half of Tempo but they're more than willing to run and gun. Their most recent game was a 78-86 loss at Vanderbilt (49th Adj T). Even against the better defensive SEC teams Texas gets out and runs the floor, seeing both games against Auburn and Tennessee go Over. Bama's 1st in Tempo and 3rd in Offensive Rating. They speed the game up wherever they're playing. With Texas playing at Home against a mediocre 40th ranked Bama defense, we like Texas to lean into Bama's pace. Texas is 24th in both FG % and 3-PT % when playing at Home. They also average 84.2 points per game at Home compared to 70.5 on the road. Both teams also force fouls and foul too much which will lead to plenty of free throws.