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Gridiron Players Club

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Courtside Players Club NCAAB 1-3 Units (12/14/24)


NCAAB


3 Picks (9 Units).


2PM EST: Xavier +8 (3 Units).


Neither one of these teams has really played anyone, Cinci's 342nd and Xavier's 337th in strength of schedule. The Cats got handled by an okay Nova team on the Road and Xavier got handled by a good Michigan team at Home. Cincinnati's strong defensively and on the glass but Xavier can hang tough. They're an older team that ranks 40th in rebound rate and 16th in 3PT %. Perimeter shooting will be key as they try and stretch out the defense. Cinci isn't great offensively, they rank just 79th in offensive rating. They crash the boards on offense as well as anyone, ranking 15th in offensive rebound % after finishing 14th last year. Xavier ranks 6th in defensive rebounding % though. Cinci's the better rebounding team and they'll get their offensive boards, but the Muskateers can keep a lid on it and stay within the number.


5:15PM: Kentucky -10.5 (3 Units).


Too much stock being put into Kentucky's sluggish performance against Colgate. They were coming off that big win over Gonzaga and came out flat in the first half. It was the typical let down spot and they did just that. They'll be ready to go at Home here and they should have their way with this Louisville defense. Every elite offensive team they've faced has handled them. Duke beat them 76-65 despite a sluggish first half. They outscored them 43-28 in the 2nd. Ole Miss blew them out 86-63 and so did Tennessee 77-55. Unlike the past couple seasons with Calipari at the helm, this Kentucky team plays defense. They're 30th in defensive rating and they've been tested, beating both Duke and Gonzaga. Just a tough spot for Louisville with Kentucky coming off that ugly performance. Going to get the best out of them with his being nationally televised on ESPN.


8:00PM EST: Gonzaga/UConn Under 153 (3 Units).


UConn had that miserable trip to the Bahama’s, but we don't put too much stock into that. A lot of talk about the Huskies poor defensive performance but they just went into Texas and held them to 65 after limiting Baylor to 72. Forward Alex Karaban returned from injury against Texas and he's a great defender on top of being their leading scorer. This isn't a true home game as it's being played at the Garden, but it'll certainly play like one. They've played there plenty and it fills up with Huskie faithful. UConn will dictate the flow of this game as they always do at Home and they operate slow, ranking 319th in Tempo. They're ranked 87th in defensive rating and we're buying low on that. UConn ranked 4th in defensive rating last year and 7th the year before that. A drop off after winning back-to-back national championships and losing some key players is expected but they're too well coached to be bad on defense. Gonzaga's 2nd in offensive rating but West Virginia held them to 71 in regulation earlier this year and that was at Gonzaga.



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