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CBB
(1 Pick)
7:00PM EST: ND/UNC Under 138.5 (3 Units).
These two teams couldn't be much different offensively but defensively they're both strong. UNC is 27th in Adj O and 6th in Adj D. Notre Dame is 263rd in Adj O and 25th in Adj D. The Notre Dame defense didn't really come together until the halfway point this season. It’s been very good as of late and the main reason they're 5-1 over their last 6 games despite having one of the worst offenses amongst Power 6 programs. These two are also much different in pace of play. UNC is 42nd in Adj T while Notre Dame's 336th.
Despite playing on the road, we like Notre Dame to dictate the flow of this game. They're 53rd nationally in defensive rebound % and they just refuse to open things up in transition. They're dead last in transition offensive frequency at just 4% of possessions. They've played a handful of strong offenses this season and each games gone under the posted and this current total. Games against Auburn, Marquette, Duke twice, and Clemson. Every single one of those games went Under and it's because Notre Dame turns it into a grind. Virginia just slowed down the Tarheels a couple weeks ago. Virginia's another slow-paced defensive team with a terrible offense that can't afford to get into a track meet with UNC. UNC won that game 54-44.
The Irish offense can be counted on to be terrible. They're 348th in points per game and average just 61.9 points per game on the road. North Carolina's also a large favorite here and for good reason. Even if UNC's offense gets it going it's likely entering blowout territory and that'll mean extended minutes for the backups.
