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(1 Pick)
5:00PM EST: Seton Hall/ St. John's Over 144.5 (4 Units).
This game just has chaos written all over it. St. John's is currently on the outside looking in at an NCAA Tournament bid and desperately need a win here. They're a much more up-tempo squad compared to Hall and we expect them to push the pace in this game. While Hall moves slowly, they've proven willing to match tempo. They lost to Iowa 72-85, beat Mizzu 93-87, Marquette 78-75, St. John's 80-65 their first meeting, and are fresh off an 88-70 win over Xavier. Seton Hall ranks 135th in transition frequency. It doesn't sound special here but they're just 295th in Adj Tempo. The discrepancy is because of their willingness to run and gun with fast paced teams. Transition offense has the edge for both squads in this game. Seton Hall ranks 239th and St. John's 308th in PPP transition defense.
Then there's the turnovers. St. John's is 146th and Hall is 278th in turnovers per game. St. John's is also 80th and Hall 140th in opponent turnovers per possession. That's going to lead to transition opportunities. Then there's the offensive rebounding. St. John's is 5th and Hall 12th in offensive rebound %. John's is just 226th and Hall 146th in defensive rebounding %. There's going to be extra shots and easy put back opportunities at the Rim.
Neither team is shooting the 3 too well at the moment and that's not their style of play. They're looking to attack the basket on each and every possession. There should be plenty of Free Throws attempted in this game. The turnovers and offensive rebounding only make fouls more common as is. Seton Hall is 88th and St. John's 233rd in fouls per possession. Seton Hall also ranks 10th in FT% this season.
