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CBB
(1 Pick)
9:00 PM EST: San Francisco/Gonzaga Over 153.5 (3 Units).
San Fran's offense matches up well enough to keep the pace with Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have really struggled defending the 3-Point Line. They rank 302nd in Open 3 Rate, 327th in SQ PPP against Catch & Shoot 3-PT, and 259th in SQ PPP against Off the Dribble 3-PT. San Fran's offense ranks 67th in SQ PPP in Catch and Shoot 3-PT and are 40th Nationally in Frequency of it. They're also 42nd in SQ PPP in Off the Dribble 3-PT and are 4th in Frequency there.
Much of it stems from stretch Guard and Forward Mike Sharavjamts and Ndewedo Newbury. They stand 6'8 and 6'7 and shoot 37.7% and 43.4% from Deep. The pull Bigs away from the basket and out into space. They're either getting favorable looks outside or favorable looks inside because of it. Should the Bulldogs do their best to run them off the 3-PT Line, they're 10th Nationally in 2-PT %.
Offensively Gonzaga shouldn't face many issues against the San Francisco defense. They grade out decent in adjusted defensive efficiency but that's because they've faced an opponent offensive strength of schedule of 322nd. They just faced their first legitimate opponent in Saint Mary's at Home last time out and surrendered 77 points. Saint Mary's ranks in the bottom 10 in Tempo Nationally and still managed to blow the doors off while dictating the flow of the game on the road.
Gonzaga plays fast and has the cats for it, ranking 55th in Adj Tempo. The last time they played at Home was January 6th and they dropped 101. Home game prior to that they scored 86. They also scored 105 in their most recent game. They got off to a sluggish start this season working in 4 new starters, but Head Coach Mark Few has them playing much better recently. With them returning Home after a long absence we trust them to put the throttle down.
