MLB
9:40PM EST.
ML: CIN +120 / SEA -130.
Over/Under 7.
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Major League Free Pick: CIN/SEA Under 7.
CIN SP Hunter Greene is coming off a rough outing at Home against the Red-Hot Brewers offense but was sharp in his first two. The former #2 overall pick has elite stuff but can struggle with command. He was the victim of some tough luck against Milwaukee which is why his xERA is 2.49 compared to his 4.86 ERA. He has a 30.1% K rate and a 34.1 % Hard Hit Rate. The Mariners offense scored some runs last night but they're 26th in OPS this season and has scored 3+ runs in back-to-back games just twice this year and it was all in the same series against Milwaukee. There's only 3 Mariners with prior at Bats against Greene and they're 2 for 10.
Logan Gilbert starts for Seattle, and he's been one of the most consistent starters in recent years. He posted a 3.73 ERA over 32 starts in 2023 and a 3.2 ERA over 32 starts in 2022. He has a 2.66 ERA so far this season with a pair of Gems under his belt. He threw 7 innings of 1 run ball against Boston in his season debut and 7.2 innings of 1 run ball against Toronto his last time out. In between that was a start @ Milwaukee that saw him give up 4 earned runs over 5.2 Innings Pitched. The Brewers hit 3 homeruns against him. Brewers are blasting homeruns against everyone at the moment.
Both starting pitchers get more outs through the air compared to on the ground. There won't be much juice on the ball tonight though as this game starts in the low 50's before dropping into the 40's. The Mariners bullpen ranks 7th in ERA this season as well. The Reds bullpen got off to a rough start, but their top relief options haven't allowed a run in 8 straight and they're fresh after yesterday.
