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Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots NFL Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Prediction, 12/1/22


NFL

(12/1/22) 8:15 PM Eastern.

Spread: Bills -3.5 / Patriots +3.5.

Moneyline: Bills -200 / Patriots +165

Total: Over / Under 43.5


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The Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 4.5 Receptions.


Stevenson continues to get a ton of targets and that’s not going to change with Damien Harris ruled out this week. He’s gone over his receptions prop total in 5 of his last 6 games, averaging 7.2 targets per game during that stretch. He had 9 receptions on 10 targets last week and 6 catches on 6 targets the week before that. The Bills have also given up 5 or more receptions to the RB position in 6 of their last 8 games. Part of that is due to teams being forced to throw. The Bills own the 3rd ranked rushing defense in the NFL. They also boast an explosive offense, putting teams in negative game script. Mac Jones throws over 26% of his targets to the RB position and Stevenson has played 78% and 82% of snaps the last 2 weeks. His snap count will remain high with no Damien Harris.



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