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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Free Pick, Odds, Preview, Predictions (8/28/23)


(8/28/23) 10:10PM Eastern.

ML: D-backs +125 / Dodgers -145

Spread: D-backs +1.5 (-175) / Dodgers -1.5 (+145)

Over/Under 8.5

Free Pick: Diamondbacks ML 1st 5 innings

National League Cy Young candidate Zac Gallen takes the mound for Arizona. He has a 2.05 ERA across 5 August Starts. He's allowed just 1 run over the first 5 innings in all 5 of those starts combined. Dating back to 2020 Gallen has a 2.76 ERA in 8 starts against his division rival Dodgers. He's allowed 2ER or less in 6 of those 8 starts. He struck out 11 Texas batters over 6IP and 90 pitches thrown in his most recent start.

The Dodgers start Rookie Bobby Miller. While he's had some success, there's been struggles at home. He has a 5.17 when pitching at Dodger Stadium, allowing 3ER or more in 4 of those 7 starts. This is also the first time in his career that he faces an MLB lineup for the 2nd time. He just pitched against Arizona on August 6th.

This Arizona offense has also turned on since then. They were in a massive slump following the break but no longer. They're 12-3 averaging 5.67 Runs per game since August 12th. To put that into perspective, that would rank 2nd in runs per game this season. They're also 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and 6-2 First 5 Innings.

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